Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -185 AMCC +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -2.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -3.5 (-1.5) | 145.6 (-5.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -2.9 (-0.9) | 145.3 (-5.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -3.6 (-1.6) | 145.2 (-5.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -3.4 (-1.4) | 145.5 (-5.5) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | AMCC 83 – 76 NICH |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NICH 76 – 71 AMCC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AMCC 61 – 57 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NICH 81 – 73 AMCC |
| Feb 13, 2024 | NICH 67 – 63 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#178) | -0.7 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#175) | -0.40 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#188) | -0.42 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#154) | 0.492 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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