Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG +650 NEB -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +12 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | NEB -16.3 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -12.3 (+0.3) | 143.7 (+4.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -14.5 (+2.5) | 140.4 (+7.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -14.6 (+2.6) | 143.0 (+5.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -13.5 (+1.5) | 140.7 (+7.3) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2025 | RUTG 85 – 82 NEB |
| Mar 3, 2024 | NEB 67 – 56 RUTG |
| Jan 18, 2024 | RUTG 87 – 82 NEB |
| Feb 15, 2023 | NEB 82 – 72 RUTG |
| Jan 29, 2022 | RUTG 63 – 61 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-7 | 16-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#158) | 19.6 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#145) | 4.56 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#158) | 5.69 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#189) | 0.648 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 2.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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