He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Big Ten Conference · Pinnacle Bank Arena · March 3, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread NEB -8.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money NEB -450 / RUTG +320
Model Predictions
Spread Total NEB win
Actual NEB +11 123 Won
Massey NEB -8.0 (+3.0) — —
Massey Totals — 133.9 (-10.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 79% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 83% ✓
Baseline Plus ML NEB -7.9 (+3.1) 138.5 (-15.5) 80% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NEB -7.2 (+3.8) 139.3 (-16.3) 77% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML NEB -8.2 (+2.8) 132.2 (-9.2) 78% ✓
Baseline ML NEB -7.9 (+3.1) 133.8 (-10.8) 78% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 NEB 80 – 68 RUTG
Jan 17, 2025 RUTG 85 – 82 NEB
Jan 18, 2024 RUTG 87 – 82 NEB
Feb 15, 2023 NEB 82 – 72 RUTG
Jan 29, 2022 RUTG 63 – 61 NEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NEB RUTG
Overall 23-11 15-17
Conference 12-8 7-13
Home 18-1 12-5
Away 3-8 3-9
Neutral 2-2 0-3
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L2 L4
Avg Pts For 77.7 65.4
Avg Pts Against 70.9 66.5
Massey 11.5 (#44) 6.7 (#88)
Bradley-Terry 1.96 (#42) 1.25 (#85)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.50 (#32) 1.61 (#81)
RPI 0.579 (#51) 0.537 (#110)
Shooting & Four Factors NEB RUTG
FG% 44.7% 39.6%
3PT% 35.9% 29.5%
REB / G 37.9 37.5
OREB / G 9.8 12.2
AST / TO 1.37 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.7% 44.2%
TOV% 16.1% 16.4%
ORB% 28.1% 30.5%
FT Rate 24.3% 22.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.6% 46.5%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 21.6%
DRB% 70.2% 68.8%
Opp FT Rate 18.9% 23.5%

Game Analysis

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