Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | NEB -450 RUTG +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +11 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -8.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -7.2 (+3.8) | 139.3 (-16.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -8.2 (+2.8) | 132.2 (-9.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -7.9 (+3.1) | 133.8 (-10.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -7.9 (+3.1) | 138.5 (-15.5) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | NEB 80 – 68 RUTG |
| Jan 17, 2025 | RUTG 85 – 82 NEB |
| Jan 18, 2024 | RUTG 87 – 82 NEB |
| Feb 15, 2023 | NEB 82 – 72 RUTG |
| Jan 29, 2022 | RUTG 63 – 61 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-13 |
| Home | 18-1 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#44) | 6.7 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#42) | 1.25 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#32) | 1.61 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#51) | 0.537 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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