Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Big Ten Conference · Jersey Mike’s Arena · January 18, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -2.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Over
Money RUTG -167 / NEB +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual RUTG +5 169 Won
Massey RUTG -0.3 (+4.7)
Massey Totals 134.7 (+34.3)
Bradley-Terry 43%
Weighted B-T 46%
Efficiency Plus ML RUTG -1.4 (+3.6) 134.3 (+34.7) 61%
Baseline Tuned ML NEB -0.1 (+5.1) 135.4 (+33.6) 52%
Baseline ML NEB -0.2 (+5.2) 136.3 (+32.7) 44%
Baseline Plus ML NEB -0.8 (+5.8) 136.7 (+32.3) 49%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 NEB 8068 RUTG
Jan 17, 2025 RUTG 8582 NEB
Mar 3, 2024 NEB 6756 RUTG
Feb 15, 2023 NEB 8272 RUTG
Jan 29, 2022 RUTG 6361 NEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG NEB
Overall 15-17 23-11
Conference 7-13 12-8
Home 12-5 18-1
Away 3-9 3-8
Neutral 0-3 2-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L4 L2
Avg Pts For 65.4 77.7
Avg Pts Against 66.5 70.9
Massey 5.7 (#94) 9.3 (#57)
Bradley-Terry 1.10 (#91) 2.08 (#40)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.61 (#83) 2.56 (#38)
RPI 0.550 (#98) 0.590 (#49)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG NEB
FG% 39.1% 45.0%
3PT% 29.2% 34.4%
REB / G 38.6 39.1
OREB / G 12.6 10.8
AST / TO 1.05 1.48
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.1% 52.8%
TOV% 16.4% 15.6%
ORB% 31.0% 30.9%
FT Rate 24.1% 26.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.4% 46.8%
Opp TOV% 22.0% 16.7%
DRB% 68.5% 71.5%
Opp FT Rate 19.8% 17.4%

Game Analysis

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