We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Big Ten Conference · Jersey Mike’s Arena · January 18, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -2.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Over
Money RUTG -167 / NEB +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual RUTG +5 169 Won
Massey RUTG -0.3 (+4.7) — —
Massey Totals — 134.7 (+34.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 43% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 46% ✗
Baseline Plus ML NEB -0.8 (+5.8) 136.7 (+32.3) 49% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RUTG -1.4 (+3.6) 134.3 (+34.7) 61% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML NEB -0.1 (+5.1) 135.4 (+33.6) 52% ✓
Baseline ML NEB -0.2 (+5.2) 136.3 (+32.7) 44% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 NEB 80 – 68 RUTG
Jan 17, 2025 RUTG 85 – 82 NEB
Mar 3, 2024 NEB 67 – 56 RUTG
Feb 15, 2023 NEB 82 – 72 RUTG
Jan 29, 2022 RUTG 63 – 61 NEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG NEB
Overall 15-17 23-11
Conference 7-13 12-8
Home 12-5 18-1
Away 3-9 3-8
Neutral 0-3 2-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L4 L2
Avg Pts For 65.4 77.7
Avg Pts Against 66.5 70.9
Massey 5.7 (#94) 9.3 (#57)
Bradley-Terry 1.10 (#91) 2.08 (#40)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.61 (#83) 2.56 (#38)
RPI 0.550 (#98) 0.590 (#49)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG NEB
FG% 39.1% 45.0%
3PT% 29.2% 34.4%
REB / G 38.6 39.1
OREB / G 12.6 10.8
AST / TO 1.05 1.48
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.1% 52.8%
TOV% 16.4% 15.6%
ORB% 31.0% 30.9%
FT Rate 24.1% 26.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.4% 46.8%
Opp TOV% 22.0% 16.7%
DRB% 68.5% 71.5%
Opp FT Rate 19.8% 17.4%

Game Analysis

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