They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
Big Ten Conference · Pinnacle Bank Arena · January 29, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -2.0 Push
O/U 138.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total NEB win
Actual RUTG +2 124 Lost
Massey RUTG -2.0 (-0.0) — —
Massey Totals — 142.4 (-18.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 31% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 29% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -2.8 (+0.8) 143.3 (-19.3) 31% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RUTG -2.6 (+0.6) 142.8 (-18.8) 28% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -2.4 (+0.4) 143.0 (-19.0) 39% ✓
Baseline ML RUTG -2.8 (+0.8) 143.8 (-19.8) 28% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 NEB 80 – 68 RUTG
Jan 17, 2025 RUTG 85 – 82 NEB
Mar 3, 2024 NEB 67 – 56 RUTG
Jan 18, 2024 RUTG 87 – 82 NEB
Feb 15, 2023 NEB 82 – 72 RUTG

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NEB RUTG
Overall 10-22 18-14
Conference 4-16 12-8
Home 7-12 14-3
Away 3-8 4-9
Neutral 0-2 0-2
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 73.3 68.5
Avg Pts Against 78.5 66.5
Massey -1.4 (#198) 3.9 (#113)
Bradley-Terry -0.48 (#212) 0.88 (#108)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.13 (#187) 1.36 (#94)
RPI 0.476 (#210) 0.508 (#161)
Shooting & Four Factors NEB RUTG
FG% 43.4% 42.5%
3PT% 30.0% 34.3%
REB / G 33.6 37.3
OREB / G 7.4 11.3
AST / TO 1.03 1.38
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.2% 48.0%
TOV% 17.2% 17.5%
ORB% 19.9% 30.7%
FT Rate 22.8% 17.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.4% 47.7%
Opp TOV% 20.0% 18.7%
DRB% 66.9% 73.6%
Opp FT Rate 19.5% 18.7%

Game Analysis

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