If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Big Ten Conference · Pinnacle Bank Arena · January 29, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -2.0 Push
O/U 138.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total NEB win
Actual RUTG +2 124 Lost
Massey RUTG -2.0 (-0.0)
Massey Totals 142.4 (-18.4)
Bradley-Terry 31%
Weighted B-T 29%
Efficiency Plus ML RUTG -2.6 (+0.6) 142.8 (-18.8) 28%
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -2.4 (+0.4) 143.0 (-19.0) 39%
Baseline ML RUTG -2.8 (+0.8) 143.8 (-19.8) 28%
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -2.8 (+0.8) 143.3 (-19.3) 31%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 NEB 8068 RUTG
Jan 17, 2025 RUTG 8582 NEB
Mar 3, 2024 NEB 6756 RUTG
Jan 18, 2024 RUTG 8782 NEB
Feb 15, 2023 NEB 8272 RUTG

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NEB RUTG
Overall 10-22 18-14
Conference 4-16 12-8
Home 7-12 14-3
Away 3-8 4-9
Neutral 0-2 0-2
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 73.3 68.5
Avg Pts Against 78.5 66.5
Massey -1.4 (#198) 3.9 (#113)
Bradley-Terry -0.48 (#212) 0.88 (#108)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.13 (#187) 1.36 (#94)
RPI 0.476 (#210) 0.508 (#161)
Shooting & Four Factors NEB RUTG
FG% 43.4% 42.5%
3PT% 30.0% 34.3%
REB / G 33.6 37.3
OREB / G 7.4 11.3
AST / TO 1.03 1.38
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.2% 48.0%
TOV% 17.2% 17.5%
ORB% 19.9% 30.7%
FT Rate 22.8% 17.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.4% 47.7%
Opp TOV% 20.0% 18.7%
DRB% 66.9% 73.6%
Opp FT Rate 19.5% 18.7%

Game Analysis

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