And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
Big Ten Conference · Jersey Mike’s Arena · February 15, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -13.5 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Over
Money RUTG -1400 / NEB +650
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual NEB +10 154 Lost
Massey RUTG -14.3 (-24.3)
Massey Totals 122.9 (+31.1)
Bradley-Terry 78%
Weighted B-T 82%
Efficiency Plus ML RUTG -12.1 (-22.1) 133.7 (+20.3) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -10.7 (-20.7) 133.2 (+20.8) 84%
Baseline ML RUTG -11.7 (-21.7) 134.3 (+19.7) 83%
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -11.7 (-21.7) 135.3 (+18.7) 83%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 NEB 8068 RUTG
Jan 17, 2025 RUTG 8582 NEB
Mar 3, 2024 NEB 6756 RUTG
Jan 18, 2024 RUTG 8782 NEB
Jan 29, 2022 RUTG 6361 NEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG NEB
Overall 19-15 16-16
Conference 10-10 9-11
Home 14-6 11-4
Away 4-7 4-9
Neutral 1-2 1-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 68.0
Avg Pts Against 61.1 69.9
Massey 14.6 (#15) 3.9 (#109)
Bradley-Terry 1.72 (#53) 1.08 (#85)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.21 (#49) 1.42 (#79)
RPI 0.564 (#65) 0.527 (#127)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG NEB
FG% 43.3% 44.8%
3PT% 31.9% 31.7%
REB / G 38.0 34.9
OREB / G 12.0 8.7
AST / TO 1.29 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.1% 50.6%
TOV% 17.4% 19.1%
ORB% 32.9% 25.7%
FT Rate 21.5% 17.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.3% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 22.8% 17.6%
DRB% 72.3% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 19.3% 14.8%

Game Analysis

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