He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Big Ten Conference · Jersey Mike’s Arena · February 15, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -13.5 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Over
Money RUTG -1400 / NEB +650
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual NEB +10 154 Lost
Massey RUTG -14.3 (-24.3) — —
Massey Totals — 122.9 (+31.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 78% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 82% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -11.7 (-21.7) 135.3 (+18.7) 83% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RUTG -12.1 (-22.1) 133.7 (+20.3) 83% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -10.7 (-20.7) 133.2 (+20.8) 84% ✗
Baseline ML RUTG -11.7 (-21.7) 134.3 (+19.7) 83% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 NEB 80 – 68 RUTG
Jan 17, 2025 RUTG 85 – 82 NEB
Mar 3, 2024 NEB 67 – 56 RUTG
Jan 18, 2024 RUTG 87 – 82 NEB
Jan 29, 2022 RUTG 63 – 61 NEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG NEB
Overall 19-15 16-16
Conference 10-10 9-11
Home 14-6 11-4
Away 4-7 4-9
Neutral 1-2 1-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 68.0
Avg Pts Against 61.1 69.9
Massey 14.6 (#15) 3.9 (#109)
Bradley-Terry 1.72 (#53) 1.08 (#85)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.21 (#49) 1.42 (#79)
RPI 0.564 (#65) 0.527 (#127)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG NEB
FG% 43.3% 44.8%
3PT% 31.9% 31.7%
REB / G 38.0 34.9
OREB / G 12.0 8.7
AST / TO 1.29 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.1% 50.6%
TOV% 17.4% 19.1%
ORB% 32.9% 25.7%
FT Rate 21.5% 17.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.3% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 22.8% 17.6%
DRB% 72.3% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 19.3% 14.8%

Game Analysis

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