Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | MCN -2100 UIW +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +17 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -16.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -15.9 (+1.1) | 139.4 (+5.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -13.9 (+3.1) | 142.1 (+2.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -14.9 (+2.1) | 142.1 (+2.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -15.1 (+1.9) | 141.2 (+3.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2025 | UIW 71 – 67 MCN |
| Feb 4, 2025 | MCN 67 – 65 UIW |
| Feb 24, 2024 | MCN 87 – 71 UIW |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MCN 80 – 66 UIW |
| Feb 17, 2023 | MCN 78 – 76 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 19-3 | 7-15 |
| Home | 14-0 | 9-6 |
| Away | 9-5 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#69) | -4.4 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#70) | -1.31 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#73) | -1.70 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#54) | 0.429 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 32.4% |
Game Analysis
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