Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | MCN -200 UIW +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -6.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -3.6 (-1.6) | 139.7 (+14.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -4.0 (-2.0) | 136.5 (+17.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -4.0 (-2.0) | 138.9 (+15.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -3.9 (-1.9) | 140.2 (+13.8) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MCN 81 – 64 UIW |
| Dec 2, 2025 | UIW 71 – 67 MCN |
| Feb 4, 2025 | MCN 67 – 65 UIW |
| Feb 24, 2024 | MCN 87 – 71 UIW |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MCN 80 – 66 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-23 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-8 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-14 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#336) | -12.7 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#346) | -1.89 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#351) | -2.56 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#285) | 0.399 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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