Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | MCN -2500 UIW +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -18.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -16.5 (-14.5) | 140.2 (-8.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -18.4 (-16.4) | 138.1 (-6.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -15.4 (-13.4) | 141.9 (-9.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -16.0 (-14.0) | 142.6 (-10.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MCN 81 – 64 UIW |
| Dec 2, 2025 | UIW 71 – 67 MCN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | MCN 87 – 71 UIW |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MCN 80 – 66 UIW |
| Feb 17, 2023 | MCN 78 – 76 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-1 | 11-5 |
| Away | 10-2 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#65) | -5.7 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#85) | -1.55 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#86) | -1.63 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#66) | 0.412 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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