Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -26.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | MCN -4000 UIW +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +16 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -24.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -19.4 (-3.4) | 144.2 (+13.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -19.9 (-3.9) | 146.6 (+11.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -22.1 (-6.1) | 146.6 (+11.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -22.5 (-6.5) | 146.0 (+12.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MCN 81 – 64 UIW |
| Dec 2, 2025 | UIW 71 – 67 MCN |
| Feb 4, 2025 | MCN 67 – 65 UIW |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MCN 80 – 66 UIW |
| Feb 17, 2023 | MCN 78 – 76 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-4 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 3-15 |
| Home | 18-0 | 5-8 |
| Away | 11-3 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 79.3 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#60) | -12.2 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#49) | -2.24 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#43) | -2.98 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#46) | 0.377 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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