Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UIW +525 MCN -750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +4 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -7.4 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -6.6 (+10.6) | 145.2 (-7.2) | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -8.2 (+12.2) | 146.4 (-8.4) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -6.2 (+10.2) | 145.8 (-7.8) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -6.0 (+10.0) | 146.6 (-8.6) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MCN 81 – 64 UIW |
| Feb 4, 2025 | MCN 67 – 65 UIW |
| Feb 24, 2024 | MCN 87 – 71 UIW |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MCN 80 – 66 UIW |
| Feb 17, 2023 | MCN 78 – 76 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 28-6 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 19-3 |
| Home | 9-6 | 14-0 |
| Away | 2-12 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#193) | 11.2 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#221) | 2.45 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#214) | 3.70 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#135) | 0.655 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 28.5 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 12.5% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 35.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 25.7% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 54.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.9% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.