Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | LR -135 SIUE +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +10 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -1.6 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -1.6 (-8.4) | 130.1 (+1.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -1.2 (-8.8) | 129.4 (+2.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -1.8 (-8.2) | 130.0 (+2.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -1.6 (-8.4) | 131.0 (+1.0) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | LR 73 – 70 SIUE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SIUE 73 – 65 LR |
| Dec 20, 2024 | LR 60 – 56 SIUE |
| Feb 2, 2024 | SIUE 68 – 66 LR |
| Jan 5, 2024 | LR 88 – 80 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-13 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#309) | -5.6 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#296) | -0.86 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#299) | -1.14 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#301) | 0.452 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 63.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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