Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -150 LR +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +8 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -2.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -3.2 (+4.8) | 136.2 (+1.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -2.6 (+5.4) | 135.9 (+2.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -2.6 (+5.4) | 135.7 (+2.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -2.3 (+5.7) | 137.1 (+0.9) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SIUE 71 – 61 LR |
| Jan 9, 2026 | LR 73 – 70 SIUE |
| Dec 20, 2024 | LR 60 – 56 SIUE |
| Feb 2, 2024 | SIUE 68 – 66 LR |
| Jan 5, 2024 | LR 88 – 80 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#233) | -3.6 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#231) | -0.64 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#249) | -0.87 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#216) | 0.484 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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