Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -175 LR +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +3 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -9.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -6.4 (-9.4) | 131.0 (+12.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -5.9 (-8.9) | 132.2 (+10.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -5.4 (-8.4) | 131.3 (+11.7) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -5.6 (-8.6) | 132.4 (+10.6) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SIUE 71 – 61 LR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SIUE 73 – 65 LR |
| Dec 20, 2024 | LR 60 – 56 SIUE |
| Feb 2, 2024 | SIUE 68 – 66 LR |
| Jan 5, 2024 | LR 88 – 80 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#266) | -12.0 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#265) | -1.73 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#269) | -2.26 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#334) | 0.398 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 63.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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