Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | LR -163 SIUE +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +8 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | LR -4.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (+13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -1.9 (+6.1) | 149.9 (+18.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -2.6 (+5.4) | 148.2 (+19.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -2.2 (+5.8) | 148.1 (+19.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LR -2.4 (+5.6) | 150.1 (+17.9) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SIUE 71 – 61 LR |
| Jan 9, 2026 | LR 73 – 70 SIUE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SIUE 73 – 65 LR |
| Dec 20, 2024 | LR 60 – 56 SIUE |
| Feb 2, 2024 | SIUE 68 – 66 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#272) | -5.2 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#276) | -0.72 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#271) | -1.17 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#325) | 0.449 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.4% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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