Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | EKU -455 STET +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +12 | 188 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -9.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (+33.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -7.7 (+4.3) | 148.9 (+39.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -6.5 (+5.5) | 148.3 (+39.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -6.1 (+5.9) | 149.6 (+38.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -6.7 (+5.3) | 148.7 (+39.3) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | STET 92 – 76 EKU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | EKU 83 – 58 STET |
| Jan 24, 2025 | STET 67 – 66 EKU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | STET 87 – 79 EKU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | EKU 85 – 70 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.1 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#266) | -12.8 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#294) | -1.63 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#293) | -2.02 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#282) | 0.416 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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