Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | STET +300 EKU -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +25 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -8.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.5 (-18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -7.7 (-17.3) | 153.6 (-12.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -7.7 (-17.3) | 154.2 (-13.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -7.4 (-17.6) | 154.8 (-13.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -8.1 (-16.9) | 155.5 (-14.5) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | STET 92 – 76 EKU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | EKU 100 – 88 STET |
| Jan 24, 2025 | STET 67 – 66 EKU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | STET 87 – 79 EKU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | EKU 85 – 70 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -13.5 (#349) | -2.4 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#339) | -0.22 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.01 (#346) | -0.02 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#330) | 0.490 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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