Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | EKU -250 STET +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +16 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -3.9 (-19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -2.1 (-18.1) | 149.0 (+19.0) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -3.3 (-19.3) | 151.3 (+16.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -2.0 (-18.0) | 149.8 (+18.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -1.8 (-17.8) | 149.2 (+18.8) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | EKU 100 – 88 STET |
| Feb 8, 2025 | EKU 83 – 58 STET |
| Jan 24, 2025 | STET 67 – 66 EKU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | STET 87 – 79 EKU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | EKU 85 – 70 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.1 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#286) | -11.4 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#293) | -1.57 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#291) | -1.85 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#266) | 0.425 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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