Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | EKU -900 STET +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +1 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -14.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.5 (-26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -10.4 (-11.4) | 153.0 (-20.0) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -10.2 (-11.2) | 151.7 (-18.7) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -10.1 (-11.1) | 152.9 (-19.9) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -10.3 (-11.3) | 154.1 (-21.1) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | STET 92 – 76 EKU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | EKU 100 – 88 STET |
| Feb 8, 2025 | EKU 83 – 58 STET |
| Feb 10, 2024 | STET 87 – 79 EKU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | EKU 85 – 70 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-3 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#228) | -14.8 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#243) | -2.78 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#241) | -3.45 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#251) | 0.384 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 63.9% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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