Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | STET +120 EKU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +8 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | STET -4.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -3.1 (+4.9) | 150.6 (+15.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -2.8 (+5.2) | 149.2 (+16.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -3.5 (+4.5) | 148.7 (+17.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STET -2.9 (+5.1) | 150.5 (+15.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | STET 92 – 76 EKU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | EKU 100 – 88 STET |
| Feb 8, 2025 | EKU 83 – 58 STET |
| Jan 24, 2025 | STET 67 – 66 EKU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | EKU 85 – 70 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 12-4 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#199) | -3.0 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#162) | -0.27 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#187) | -0.48 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#149) | 0.490 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.