You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Atlantic Sun Conference · Insight Credit Union Arena at Edmunds Center · February 10, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread EKU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 151.5 Over
Money STET +120 / EKU -120
Model Predictions
Spread Total STET win
Actual STET +8 166 Won
Massey STET -4.2 (+3.8)
Massey Totals 151.3 (+14.7)
Bradley-Terry 74%
Weighted B-T 72%
Efficiency Plus ML STET -2.8 (+5.2) 149.2 (+16.8) 66%
Baseline Tuned ML STET -3.5 (+4.5) 148.7 (+17.3) 69%
Baseline ML STET -2.9 (+5.1) 150.5 (+15.5) 68%
Baseline Plus ML STET -3.1 (+4.9) 150.6 (+15.4) 69%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 4, 2026 STET 9276 EKU
Feb 7, 2026 EKU 10088 STET
Feb 8, 2025 EKU 8358 STET
Jan 24, 2025 STET 6766 EKU
Jan 14, 2023 EKU 8570 STET

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STET EKU
Overall 22-13 17-14
Conference 11-5 12-4
Home 14-2 13-4
Away 6-10 4-10
Neutral 2-1 0-0
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 73.8 76.5
Avg Pts Against 75.6 77.4
Massey -2.2 (#199) -3.0 (#217)
Bradley-Terry 0.16 (#162) -0.27 (#194)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.22 (#187) -0.48 (#214)
RPI 0.513 (#149) 0.490 (#191)
Shooting & Four Factors STET EKU
FG% 45.0% 43.6%
3PT% 36.2% 35.7%
REB / G 33.0 39.0
OREB / G 8.9 12.2
AST / TO 1.18 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.9% 49.9%
TOV% 16.7% 16.2%
ORB% 27.2% 32.2%
FT Rate 21.4% 21.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.6% 50.5%
Opp TOV% 13.1% 14.2%
DRB% 69.2% 69.7%
Opp FT Rate 18.5% 20.9%

Game Analysis

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