Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | EKU -150 STET +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +15 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -0.3 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -0.5 (+14.5) | 150.9 (+4.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -1.5 (+13.5) | 151.6 (+3.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -0.8 (+14.2) | 150.1 (+4.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -0.6 (+14.4) | 153.2 (+1.8) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | STET 92 – 76 EKU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | EKU 100 – 88 STET |
| Feb 8, 2025 | EKU 83 – 58 STET |
| Jan 24, 2025 | STET 67 – 66 EKU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | STET 87 – 79 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#209) | 1.9 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#148) | 0.67 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#174) | 0.81 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#116) | 0.542 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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