The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Columbia Lions
67 – 88
FINAL Conference
Cornell Big Red
Ivy League · Levien Gymnasium · February 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread COR -1.5 Away covered
O/U 171.5 Under
Money COLU -102 / COR -118
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLU win
Actual COR +21 155 Lost
Massey COLU -4.3 (-25.3) — —
Massey Totals — 178.9 (-23.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 77% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 76% ✗
Baseline Plus ML COLU -5.3 (-26.3) 162.1 (-7.1) 61% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COLU -2.5 (-23.5) 161.5 (-6.5) 66% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML COLU -3.5 (-24.5) 162.6 (-7.6) 67% ✗
Baseline ML COLU -3.6 (-24.6) 163.9 (-8.9) 68% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 5, 2026 COLU 104 – 99 COR
Mar 8, 2025 COR 100 – 81 COLU
Jan 11, 2025 COR 94 – 83 COLU
Mar 9, 2024 COR 98 – 76 COLU
Jan 9, 2024 COR 91 – 79 COLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLU COR
Overall 16-12 15-13
Conference 5-9 8-6
Home 9-5 7-4
Away 7-7 8-8
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 74.9 85.8
Avg Pts Against 73.5 84.6
Massey 0.6 (#153) -0.7 (#177)
Bradley-Terry 0.11 (#154) -0.59 (#216)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.20 (#186) -0.77 (#220)
RPI 0.528 (#117) 0.506 (#161)
Shooting & Four Factors COLU COR
FG% 47.3% 48.4%
3PT% 36.2% 39.3%
REB / G 39.0 33.8
OREB / G 12.4 10.1
AST / TO 1.15 1.67
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.1% 58.6%
TOV% 19.4% 16.4%
ORB% 36.9% 29.0%
FT Rate 22.5% 23.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 57.6%
Opp TOV% 14.2% 15.2%
DRB% 72.9% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 23.8% 26.8%

Game Analysis

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