This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Cornell Big Red
91 – 79
FINAL Conference
Columbia Lions
Ivy League · Newman Arena · January 9, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread COR -10.0 Home covered
O/U 168.0 Over
Money COR -600 / COLU +430
Model Predictions
Spread Total COR win
Actual COR +12 170 Won
Massey COR -11.6 (+0.4) — —
Massey Totals — 165.9 (+4.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 94% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COR -10.4 (+1.6) 159.4 (+10.6) 82% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COR -11.2 (+0.8) 156.7 (+13.3) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COR -10.1 (+1.9) 159.1 (+10.9) 84% ✓
Baseline ML COR -10.8 (+1.2) 160.7 (+9.3) 82% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 COR 88 – 67 COLU
Jan 5, 2026 COLU 104 – 99 COR
Mar 8, 2025 COR 100 – 81 COLU
Jan 11, 2025 COR 94 – 83 COLU
Mar 9, 2024 COR 98 – 76 COLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COR COLU
Overall 22-8 13-14
Conference 11-3 4-10
Home 10-1 9-6
Away 10-6 4-8
Neutral 2-1 0-0
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L6
Avg Pts For 80.4 73.6
Avg Pts Against 75.2 75.3
Massey 5.3 (#98) -2.1 (#208)
Bradley-Terry 1.85 (#49) -0.05 (#182)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.02 (#60) -0.27 (#194)
RPI 0.580 (#58) 0.474 (#222)
Shooting & Four Factors COR COLU
FG% 49.4% 44.1%
3PT% 32.9% 37.6%
REB / G 35.3 35.9
OREB / G 9.2 9.2
AST / TO 1.19 1.28
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.9% 51.2%
TOV% 19.3% 17.3%
ORB% 28.2% 27.3%
FT Rate 24.5% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.0% 49.3%
Opp TOV% 19.4% 17.8%
DRB% 67.2% 71.2%
Opp FT Rate 19.0% 20.7%

Game Analysis

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