He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Cornell Big Red
100 – 81
FINAL Conference
Columbia Lions
Ivy League · Newman Arena · March 8, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread COR -9.5 Home covered
O/U 169.5 Over
Money COR -600 / COLU +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total COR win
Actual COR +19 181 Won
Massey COR -11.9 (+7.1) — —
Massey Totals — 170.5 (+10.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 86% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 91% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COR -12.7 (+6.3) 163.4 (+17.6) 86% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COR -11.8 (+7.2) 162.1 (+18.9) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COR -11.1 (+7.9) 164.6 (+16.4) 86% ✓
Baseline ML COR -11.3 (+7.7) 164.2 (+16.8) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 COR 88 – 67 COLU
Jan 5, 2026 COLU 104 – 99 COR
Jan 11, 2025 COR 94 – 83 COLU
Mar 9, 2024 COR 98 – 76 COLU
Jan 9, 2024 COR 91 – 79 COLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COR COLU
Overall 18-11 12-15
Conference 9-5 1-13
Home 9-5 9-6
Away 8-5 3-9
Neutral 1-1 0-0
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L7
Avg Pts For 83.4 77.1
Avg Pts Against 78.7 80.6
Massey 2.0 (#128) -6.7 (#275)
Bradley-Terry 0.14 (#158) -1.09 (#269)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.17 (#159) -1.49 (#277)
RPI 0.522 (#140) 0.436 (#304)
Shooting & Four Factors COR COLU
FG% 48.9% 46.0%
3PT% 37.2% 34.2%
REB / G 34.0 33.6
OREB / G 8.6 9.2
AST / TO 1.45 1.53
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 58.0% 52.7%
TOV% 17.3% 15.5%
ORB% 26.6% 26.3%
FT Rate 21.7% 21.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.2% 56.0%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 16.6%
DRB% 70.1% 72.7%
Opp FT Rate 21.9% 18.5%

Game Analysis

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