Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
Columbia Lions
83 – 94
FINAL Conference
Cornell Big Red
Ivy League · Levien Gymnasium · January 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread COR -1.5 Away covered
O/U 164.5 Over
Money COLU -105 / COR -115
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLU win
Actual COR +11 177 Lost
Massey COLU -2.9 (-13.9) — —
Massey Totals — 164.3 (+12.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 86% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 87% ✗
Baseline Plus ML COLU -2.9 (-13.9) 157.6 (+19.4) 58% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COLU -1.6 (-12.6) 159.9 (+17.1) 50% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML COLU -2.3 (-13.3) 158.3 (+18.7) 66% ✗
Baseline ML COLU -1.8 (-12.8) 157.5 (+19.5) 56% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 COR 88 – 67 COLU
Jan 5, 2026 COLU 104 – 99 COR
Mar 8, 2025 COR 100 – 81 COLU
Mar 9, 2024 COR 98 – 76 COLU
Jan 9, 2024 COR 91 – 79 COLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLU COR
Overall 12-15 18-11
Conference 1-13 9-5
Home 9-6 9-5
Away 3-9 8-5
Neutral 0-0 1-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L7 L1
Avg Pts For 77.1 83.4
Avg Pts Against 80.6 78.7
Massey -0.1 (#161) 1.1 (#147)
Bradley-Terry 1.07 (#83) -0.03 (#179)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.96 (#106) -0.13 (#178)
RPI 0.515 (#148) 0.499 (#173)
Shooting & Four Factors COLU COR
FG% 49.5% 49.1%
3PT% 38.5% 34.8%
REB / G 35.0 32.9
OREB / G 9.1 8.1
AST / TO 1.47 1.43
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.6% 57.5%
TOV% 17.8% 17.5%
ORB% 29.4% 24.8%
FT Rate 24.0% 23.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.0% 51.2%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 17.1%
DRB% 71.1% 67.6%
Opp FT Rate 15.9% 25.1%

Game Analysis

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