I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Columbia Lions
83 94
FINAL Conference
Cornell Big Red
Ivy League · Levien Gymnasium · January 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread COR -1.5 Away covered
O/U 164.5 Over
Money COLU -105 / COR -115
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLU win
Actual COR +11 177 Lost
Massey COLU -2.9 (-13.9)
Massey Totals 164.3 (+12.7)
Bradley-Terry 86%
Weighted B-T 87%
Efficiency Plus ML COLU -1.6 (-12.6) 159.9 (+17.1) 50%
Baseline Tuned ML COLU -2.3 (-13.3) 158.3 (+18.7) 66%
Baseline ML COLU -1.8 (-12.8) 157.5 (+19.5) 56%
Baseline Plus ML COLU -2.9 (-13.9) 157.6 (+19.4) 58%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 COR 8867 COLU
Jan 5, 2026 COLU 10499 COR
Mar 8, 2025 COR 10081 COLU
Mar 9, 2024 COR 9876 COLU
Jan 9, 2024 COR 9179 COLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLU COR
Overall 12-15 18-11
Conference 1-13 9-5
Home 9-6 9-5
Away 3-9 8-5
Neutral 0-0 1-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L7 L1
Avg Pts For 77.1 83.4
Avg Pts Against 80.6 78.7
Massey -0.1 (#161) 1.1 (#147)
Bradley-Terry 1.07 (#83) -0.03 (#179)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.96 (#106) -0.13 (#178)
RPI 0.515 (#148) 0.499 (#173)
Shooting & Four Factors COLU COR
FG% 49.5% 49.1%
3PT% 38.5% 34.8%
REB / G 35.0 32.9
OREB / G 9.1 8.1
AST / TO 1.47 1.43
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.6% 57.5%
TOV% 17.8% 17.5%
ORB% 29.4% 24.8%
FT Rate 24.0% 23.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.0% 51.2%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 17.1%
DRB% 71.1% 67.6%
Opp FT Rate 15.9% 25.1%

Game Analysis

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