Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Cornell Big Red
99 104
FINAL Conference
Columbia Lions
Ivy League · Newman Arena · January 5, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread COR -3.5 Away covered
O/U 170.5 Over
Money COR -185 / COLU +154
Model Predictions
Spread Total COR win
Actual COLU +5 203 Lost
Massey COR -0.3 (-5.3)
Massey Totals 177.1 (+25.9)
Bradley-Terry 35%
Weighted B-T 33%
Efficiency Plus ML COR -0.7 (-5.7) 156.1 (+46.9) 53%
Baseline Tuned ML COR -0.3 (-5.3) 159.7 (+43.3) 53%
Baseline ML COR -0.1 (-5.1) 160.2 (+42.8) 53%
Baseline Plus ML COR -0.6 (-5.6) 156.6 (+46.4) 50%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 COR 8867 COLU
Mar 8, 2025 COR 10081 COLU
Jan 11, 2025 COR 9483 COLU
Mar 9, 2024 COR 9876 COLU
Jan 9, 2024 COR 9179 COLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COR COLU
Overall 15-13 16-12
Conference 8-6 5-9
Home 7-4 9-5
Away 8-8 7-7
Neutral 0-1 0-0
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 85.8 74.9
Avg Pts Against 84.6 73.5
Massey 0.9 (#155) 4.4 (#112)
Bradley-Terry -0.21 (#194) 1.03 (#92)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.47 (#198) 0.94 (#113)
RPI 0.524 (#121) 0.543 (#98)
Shooting & Four Factors COR COLU
FG% 48.6% 48.3%
3PT% 40.5% 38.9%
REB / G 34.8 40.8
OREB / G 9.9 12.2
AST / TO 1.55 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 59.3% 55.7%
TOV% 17.2% 20.2%
ORB% 28.5% 37.5%
FT Rate 23.2% 21.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.2% 47.8%
Opp TOV% 15.4% 14.5%
DRB% 69.0% 74.6%
Opp FT Rate 27.1% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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