Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Horizon League · Beeghly Center · February 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money YSU -180 / RMU +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total YSU win
Actual RMU +6 138 Lost
Massey YSU -4.0 (-10.0)
Massey Totals 147.7 (-9.7)
Bradley-Terry 46%
Weighted B-T 51%
Efficiency Plus ML YSU -2.0 (-8.0) 144.1 (-6.1) 63%
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -2.6 (-8.6) 143.7 (-5.7) 65%
Baseline ML YSU -2.5 (-8.5) 144.9 (-6.9) 63%
Baseline Plus ML YSU -3.3 (-9.3) 146.2 (-8.2) 64%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 RMU 6853 YSU
Dec 18, 2025 RMU 8077 YSU
Mar 11, 2025 RMU 8978 YSU
Jan 22, 2025 RMU 7270 YSU
Dec 5, 2024 YSU 7258 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings YSU RMU
Overall 15-17 22-11
Conference 8-12 13-7
Home 10-5 14-3
Away 4-11 8-7
Neutral 1-1 0-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 75.1 76.8
Avg Pts Against 74.9 73.4
Massey -1.8 (#193) -2.8 (#213)
Bradley-Terry -0.80 (#237) -0.14 (#185)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.75 (#219) -0.23 (#188)
RPI 0.444 (#279) 0.490 (#206)
Shooting & Four Factors YSU RMU
FG% 45.4% 46.4%
3PT% 34.7% 37.8%
REB / G 33.5 37.0
OREB / G 11.1 12.8
AST / TO 1.01 1.36
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.3% 54.0%
TOV% 19.5% 19.0%
ORB% 32.7% 37.1%
FT Rate 23.0% 20.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.6% 51.1%
Opp TOV% 18.3% 15.6%
DRB% 68.8% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 30.8% 33.6%

Game Analysis

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