Robert Morris
Colonials
89
–
78
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Barbasol Horizon League
Youngstown State
Penguins
Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | RMU -185 YSU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +11 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | RMU -3.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -2.6 (+8.4) | 145.8 (+21.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -4.7 (+6.3) | 142.4 (+24.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -3.8 (+7.2) | 143.9 (+23.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -3.7 (+7.3) | 144.9 (+22.1) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | RMU 68 – 53 YSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | RMU 72 – 66 YSU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | RMU 80 – 77 YSU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | RMU 72 – 70 YSU |
| Dec 5, 2024 | YSU 72 – 58 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 13-7 |
| Home | 16-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-6 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#145) | -2.1 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#112) | -0.07 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#120) | -0.09 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#101) | 0.484 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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