If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · December 18, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -2.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money RMU -155 / YSU +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +3 157 Won
Massey RMU -2.4 (+0.6)
Massey Totals 140.9 (+16.1)
Bradley-Terry 73%
Weighted B-T 85%
Efficiency Plus ML RMU -2.8 (+0.2) 137.4 (+19.6) 63%
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -2.5 (+0.5) 137.0 (+20.0) 62%
Baseline ML RMU -1.7 (+1.3) 136.9 (+20.1) 57%
Baseline Plus ML RMU -2.9 (+0.1) 137.1 (+19.9) 58%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 RMU 6853 YSU
Feb 7, 2026 RMU 7266 YSU
Mar 11, 2025 RMU 8978 YSU
Jan 22, 2025 RMU 7270 YSU
Dec 5, 2024 YSU 7258 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU YSU
Overall 22-11 15-17
Conference 13-7 8-12
Home 14-3 10-5
Away 8-7 4-11
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 76.8 75.1
Avg Pts Against 73.4 74.9
Massey -1.0 (#182) 1.0 (#152)
Bradley-Terry 0.30 (#154) 0.08 (#172)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.68 (#136) -0.19 (#181)
RPI 0.509 (#157) 0.490 (#193)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU YSU
FG% 45.1% 46.2%
3PT% 33.9% 35.4%
REB / G 38.4 33.1
OREB / G 13.5 10.1
AST / TO 1.25 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 55.0%
TOV% 18.9% 21.2%
ORB% 37.6% 30.7%
FT Rate 17.4% 20.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 49.1%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 19.9%
DRB% 68.8% 67.0%
Opp FT Rate 38.3% 27.9%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.