Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | RMU -155 YSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | RMU -2.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -2.9 (+0.1) | 137.1 (+19.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -2.8 (+0.2) | 137.4 (+19.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -2.5 (+0.5) | 137.0 (+20.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -1.7 (+1.3) | 136.9 (+20.1) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | RMU 68 – 53 YSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | RMU 72 – 66 YSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | RMU 89 – 78 YSU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | RMU 72 – 70 YSU |
| Dec 5, 2024 | YSU 72 – 58 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#182) | 1.0 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#154) | 0.08 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#136) | -0.19 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#157) | 0.490 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.3% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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