Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | RMU -125 YSU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +14 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | RMU -9.0 (-23.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (-1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -5.6 (-19.6) | 138.7 (-8.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -4.3 (-18.3) | 138.1 (-8.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -5.2 (-19.2) | 135.1 (-5.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -6.1 (-20.1) | 135.2 (-5.2) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | RMU 68 – 53 YSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | RMU 72 – 66 YSU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | RMU 80 – 77 YSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | RMU 89 – 78 YSU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | RMU 72 – 70 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 13-7 |
| Home | 16-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-6 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#222) | -7.2 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#136) | -2.18 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#147) | -3.27 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#177) | 0.366 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 36.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 23.9% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 41.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 79.6% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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