What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · December 5, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money RMU -125 / YSU +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual YSU +14 130 Lost
Massey RMU -9.0 (-23.0)
Massey Totals 131.3 (-1.3)
Bradley-Terry 97%
Weighted B-T 99%
Efficiency Plus ML RMU -4.3 (-18.3) 138.1 (-8.1) 59%
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -5.2 (-19.2) 135.1 (-5.1) 75%
Baseline ML RMU -6.1 (-20.1) 135.2 (-5.2) 72%
Baseline Plus ML RMU -5.6 (-19.6) 138.7 (-8.7) 69%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 RMU 6853 YSU
Feb 7, 2026 RMU 7266 YSU
Dec 18, 2025 RMU 8077 YSU
Mar 11, 2025 RMU 8978 YSU
Jan 22, 2025 RMU 7270 YSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU YSU
Overall 26-9 21-13
Conference 15-5 13-7
Home 16-2 10-5
Away 8-6 9-6
Neutral 2-1 2-2
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.9 73.7
Avg Pts Against 71.6 72.6
Massey -3.2 (#222) -7.2 (#298)
Bradley-Terry 0.37 (#136) -2.18 (#327)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.22 (#147) -3.27 (#331)
RPI 0.495 (#177) 0.366 (#345)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU YSU
FG% 40.0% 36.2%
3PT% 31.4% 23.9%
REB / G 39.1 34.9
OREB / G 12.2 11.6
AST / TO 0.89 0.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.8% 41.1%
TOV% 19.5% 16.9%
ORB% 32.6% 27.6%
FT Rate 29.1% 24.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.2% 48.2%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 19.2%
DRB% 79.6% 66.5%
Opp FT Rate 24.4% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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