Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
Robert Morris Colonials
68 53
FINAL Conference Barbasol Horizon League
Youngstown State Penguins
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · March 5, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -3.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money RMU -185 / YSU +154
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +15 121 Won
Massey RMU -5.5 (+9.5)
Massey Totals 145.8 (-24.8)
Bradley-Terry 82%
Weighted B-T 84%
Efficiency Plus ML RMU -6.7 (+8.3) 144.4 (-23.4) 77%
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -7.0 (+8.0) 142.2 (-21.2) 78%
Baseline ML RMU -6.3 (+8.7) 144.1 (-23.1) 80%
Baseline Plus ML RMU -7.3 (+7.7) 144.8 (-23.8) 77%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 RMU 7266 YSU
Dec 18, 2025 RMU 8077 YSU
Mar 11, 2025 RMU 8978 YSU
Jan 22, 2025 RMU 7270 YSU
Dec 5, 2024 YSU 7258 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU YSU
Overall 22-11 15-17
Conference 13-7 8-12
Home 14-3 10-5
Away 8-7 4-11
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 76.8 75.1
Avg Pts Against 73.4 74.9
Massey -0.0 (#166) -2.5 (#206)
Bradley-Terry 0.23 (#146) -0.79 (#240)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.27 (#138) -0.82 (#230)
RPI 0.514 (#145) 0.453 (#273)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU YSU
FG% 47.2% 45.8%
3PT% 38.2% 34.2%
REB / G 37.0 33.2
OREB / G 12.7 10.3
AST / TO 1.44 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.0% 54.2%
TOV% 18.3% 18.9%
ORB% 37.5% 30.6%
FT Rate 19.6% 23.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 52.1%
Opp TOV% 15.8% 17.6%
DRB% 71.5% 69.6%
Opp FT Rate 31.0% 27.3%

Game Analysis

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