Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -165 RMU +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +2 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -3.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -1.6 (-3.6) | 147.1 (-5.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -2.3 (-4.3) | 148.1 (-6.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -1.9 (-3.9) | 144.1 (-2.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -1.6 (-3.6) | 145.7 (-3.7) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | RMU 68 – 53 YSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | RMU 72 – 66 YSU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | RMU 80 – 77 YSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | RMU 89 – 78 YSU |
| Dec 5, 2024 | YSU 72 – 58 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-5 | 16-2 |
| Away | 9-6 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#213) | -2.3 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#197) | 0.21 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#198) | -0.01 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#231) | 0.503 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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