Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU -500 OMA +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +8 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -10.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -9.7 (-1.7) | 144.2 (+31.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -9.7 (-1.7) | 145.4 (+30.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -10.5 (-2.5) | 146.9 (+29.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -9.4 (-1.4) | 144.6 (+31.4) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NDSU 74 – 50 OMA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NDSU 78 – 76 OMA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OMA 85 – 74 NDSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | OMA 85 – 80 NDSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NDSU 81 – 79 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 10-5 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#132) | -5.5 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#115) | -1.09 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#119) | -1.33 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#113) | 0.442 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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