Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | OMA +110 NDSU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +11 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -3.2 (+14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -1.0 (+12.0) | 150.3 (+8.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -1.5 (+12.5) | 150.1 (+8.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -0.8 (+11.8) | 151.2 (+7.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -1.5 (+12.5) | 151.8 (+7.2) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NDSU 74 – 50 OMA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | NDSU 92 – 84 OMA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NDSU 78 – 76 OMA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | OMA 85 – 80 NDSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NDSU 81 – 79 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 10-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#205) | 4.0 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#192) | 0.35 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#211) | 0.36 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#189) | 0.511 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 40.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 58.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 10.1% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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