Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU -1000 OMA +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +5 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | NDSU -16.0 (-21.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -13.7 (-18.7) | 149.9 (+15.1) | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -10.6 (-15.6) | 149.8 (+15.2) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -13.9 (-18.9) | 150.1 (+14.9) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -14.1 (-19.1) | 150.6 (+14.4) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NDSU 74 – 50 OMA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | NDSU 92 – 84 OMA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NDSU 78 – 76 OMA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OMA 85 – 74 NDSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NDSU 81 – 79 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 13-3 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 8-6 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#90) | -6.0 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#133) | -1.14 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#134) | -1.63 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#153) | 0.427 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 41.4% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.9% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.6% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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