Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | WOF -180 WCU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +11 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -7.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -8.1 (+2.9) | 151.3 (-8.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -6.8 (+4.2) | 151.4 (-8.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -6.0 (+5.0) | 153.4 (-10.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -7.1 (+3.9) | 154.5 (-11.5) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | WOF 79 – 74 WCU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | WOF 90 – 67 WCU |
| Jan 9, 2025 | WOF 77 – 69 WCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | WOF 88 – 86 WCU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WCU 70 – 66 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#219) | -7.7 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#177) | -1.41 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#207) | -1.95 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#179) | 0.456 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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