Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
Southern Conference · Ramsey Center · December 31, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WOF -2.5 Away covered
O/U 154.5 Under
Money WCU +136 / WOF -162
Model Predictions
Spread Total WCU win
Actual WOF +5 153 Lost
Massey WOF -0.9 (-4.1)
Massey Totals 152.1 (+0.9)
Bradley-Terry 43%
Weighted B-T 44%
Efficiency Plus ML WOF -2.9 (-2.1) 146.3 (+6.7) 36%
Baseline Tuned ML WOF -1.8 (-3.2) 144.6 (+8.4) 44%
Baseline ML WOF -2.1 (-2.9) 145.3 (+7.7) 40%
Baseline Plus ML WOF -1.6 (-3.4) 145.9 (+7.1) 46%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 WOF 7766 WCU
Feb 27, 2025 WOF 9067 WCU
Jan 9, 2025 WOF 7769 WCU
Feb 3, 2024 WOF 8886 WCU
Jan 6, 2024 WCU 7066 WOF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WCU WOF
Overall 15-16 19-13
Conference 10-8 11-7
Home 10-3 10-5
Away 4-12 9-7
Neutral 1-1 0-1
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 76.3 78.4
Avg Pts Against 79.0 78.6
Massey -8.8 (#299) -3.9 (#222)
Bradley-Terry -0.99 (#256) -0.04 (#174)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.37 (#258) -0.41 (#195)
RPI 0.473 (#223) 0.494 (#186)
Shooting & Four Factors WCU WOF
FG% 41.5% 40.8%
3PT% 29.9% 30.5%
REB / G 35.7 36.9
OREB / G 11.0 12.5
AST / TO 0.72 1.35
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 47.5%
TOV% 20.9% 15.2%
ORB% 28.6% 32.8%
FT Rate 21.3% 29.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.4% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 15.8% 15.1%
DRB% 72.5% 70.2%
Opp FT Rate 29.3% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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