Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | WOF +110 WCU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +2 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -1.6 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (+22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -1.3 (+3.3) | 149.2 (+24.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -1.4 (+3.4) | 147.2 (+26.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -1.2 (+3.2) | 148.6 (+25.4) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -1.7 (+3.7) | 149.1 (+24.9) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | WOF 77 – 66 WCU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | WOF 79 – 74 WCU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | WOF 90 – 67 WCU |
| Jan 9, 2025 | WOF 77 – 69 WCU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WCU 70 – 66 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-2 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-9 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#208) | 2.8 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#166) | 0.84 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#188) | 0.87 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#156) | 0.532 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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