Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Southern Conference · Ramsey Center · January 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WCU -5.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money WCU -225 / WOF +220
Model Predictions
Spread Total WCU win
Actual WCU +4 136 Won
Massey WCU -8.4 (-4.4) — —
Massey Totals — 159.4 (-23.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WCU -6.5 (-2.5) 155.0 (-19.0) 78% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WCU -4.8 (-0.8) 151.1 (-15.1) 72% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WCU -6.0 (-2.0) 150.8 (-14.8) 76% ✓
Baseline ML WCU -6.2 (-2.2) 152.9 (-16.9) 77% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 WOF 77 – 66 WCU
Dec 31, 2025 WOF 79 – 74 WCU
Feb 27, 2025 WOF 90 – 67 WCU
Jan 9, 2025 WOF 77 – 69 WCU
Feb 3, 2024 WOF 88 – 86 WCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WCU WOF
Overall 22-10 17-15
Conference 11-7 10-8
Home 12-3 11-2
Away 10-6 6-9
Neutral 0-1 0-4
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.1 73.1
Avg Pts Against 69.8 75.3
Massey 3.2 (#122) -0.8 (#179)
Bradley-Terry 1.60 (#63) -0.07 (#185)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.59 (#85) -0.16 (#182)
RPI 0.564 (#81) 0.479 (#207)
Shooting & Four Factors WCU WOF
FG% 46.1% 45.2%
3PT% 34.3% 33.9%
REB / G 37.2 38.8
OREB / G 9.4 10.3
AST / TO 1.09 1.24
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.5% 52.8%
TOV% 15.7% 17.0%
ORB% 28.0% 27.6%
FT Rate 18.7% 19.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.7% 51.5%
Opp TOV% 13.0% 13.5%
DRB% 75.9% 76.4%
Opp FT Rate 25.3% 28.9%

Game Analysis

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