Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Southern Conference · Ramsey Center · January 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WCU -5.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money WCU -225 / WOF +220
Model Predictions
Spread Total WCU win
Actual WCU +4 136 Won
Massey WCU -8.4 (-4.4)
Massey Totals 159.4 (-23.4)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 94%
Efficiency Plus ML WCU -4.8 (-0.8) 151.1 (-15.1) 72%
Baseline Tuned ML WCU -6.0 (-2.0) 150.8 (-14.8) 76%
Baseline ML WCU -6.2 (-2.2) 152.9 (-16.9) 77%
Baseline Plus ML WCU -6.5 (-2.5) 155.0 (-19.0) 78%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 WOF 7766 WCU
Dec 31, 2025 WOF 7974 WCU
Feb 27, 2025 WOF 9067 WCU
Jan 9, 2025 WOF 7769 WCU
Feb 3, 2024 WOF 8886 WCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WCU WOF
Overall 22-10 17-15
Conference 11-7 10-8
Home 12-3 11-2
Away 10-6 6-9
Neutral 0-1 0-4
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.1 73.1
Avg Pts Against 69.8 75.3
Massey 3.2 (#122) -0.8 (#179)
Bradley-Terry 1.60 (#63) -0.07 (#185)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.59 (#85) -0.16 (#182)
RPI 0.564 (#81) 0.479 (#207)
Shooting & Four Factors WCU WOF
FG% 46.1% 45.2%
3PT% 34.3% 33.9%
REB / G 37.2 38.8
OREB / G 9.4 10.3
AST / TO 1.09 1.24
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.5% 52.8%
TOV% 15.7% 17.0%
ORB% 28.0% 27.6%
FT Rate 18.7% 19.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.7% 51.5%
Opp TOV% 13.0% 13.5%
DRB% 75.9% 76.4%
Opp FT Rate 25.3% 28.9%

Game Analysis

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