See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
Southern Conference · Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium · January 9, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WOF -11.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money WOF -1400 / WCU +750
Model Predictions
Spread Total WOF win
Actual WOF +8 146 Won
Massey WOF -20.2 (-12.2)
Massey Totals 139.9 (+6.1)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML WOF -13.8 (-5.8) 142.2 (+3.8) 87%
Baseline Tuned ML WOF -14.8 (-6.8) 140.1 (+5.9) 89%
Baseline ML WOF -14.9 (-6.9) 141.8 (+4.2) 89%
Baseline Plus ML WOF -15.7 (-7.7) 140.7 (+5.3) 89%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 WOF 7766 WCU
Dec 31, 2025 WOF 7974 WCU
Feb 27, 2025 WOF 9067 WCU
Feb 3, 2024 WOF 8886 WCU
Jan 6, 2024 WCU 7066 WOF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WOF WCU
Overall 19-16 8-22
Conference 10-8 4-14
Home 7-6 7-7
Away 8-8 1-14
Neutral 4-2 0-1
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 73.1 67.1
Avg Pts Against 70.8 80.6
Massey 1.1 (#148) -15.0 (#354)
Bradley-Terry -0.01 (#171) -3.45 (#356)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.27 (#149) -4.44 (#356)
RPI 0.520 (#134) 0.433 (#294)
Shooting & Four Factors WOF WCU
FG% 44.5% 37.1%
3PT% 32.8% 27.6%
REB / G 35.2 36.4
OREB / G 12.2 11.1
AST / TO 1.28 0.59
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.0% 43.8%
TOV% 18.4% 24.1%
ORB% 34.9% 28.9%
FT Rate 15.3% 15.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.3% 54.7%
Opp TOV% 15.4% 16.8%
DRB% 71.4% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 27.5% 26.0%

Game Analysis

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