Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
Southern Conference · Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium · January 9, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WOF -11.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money WOF -1400 / WCU +750
Model Predictions
Spread Total WOF win
Actual WOF +8 146 Won
Massey WOF -20.2 (-12.2) — —
Massey Totals — 139.9 (+6.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WOF -15.7 (-7.7) 140.7 (+5.3) 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WOF -13.8 (-5.8) 142.2 (+3.8) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WOF -14.8 (-6.8) 140.1 (+5.9) 89% ✓
Baseline ML WOF -14.9 (-6.9) 141.8 (+4.2) 89% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 WOF 77 – 66 WCU
Dec 31, 2025 WOF 79 – 74 WCU
Feb 27, 2025 WOF 90 – 67 WCU
Feb 3, 2024 WOF 88 – 86 WCU
Jan 6, 2024 WCU 70 – 66 WOF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WOF WCU
Overall 19-16 8-22
Conference 10-8 4-14
Home 7-6 7-7
Away 8-8 1-14
Neutral 4-2 0-1
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 73.1 67.1
Avg Pts Against 70.8 80.6
Massey 1.1 (#148) -15.0 (#354)
Bradley-Terry -0.01 (#171) -3.45 (#356)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.27 (#149) -4.44 (#356)
RPI 0.520 (#134) 0.433 (#294)
Shooting & Four Factors WOF WCU
FG% 44.5% 37.1%
3PT% 32.8% 27.6%
REB / G 35.2 36.4
OREB / G 12.2 11.1
AST / TO 1.28 0.59
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.0% 43.8%
TOV% 18.4% 24.1%
ORB% 34.9% 28.9%
FT Rate 15.3% 15.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.3% 54.7%
Opp TOV% 15.4% 16.8%
DRB% 71.4% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 27.5% 26.0%

Game Analysis

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