Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | DUQ -110 GW -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +2 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | GW -1.9 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -0.5 (+2.5) | 155.5 (+18.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -0.2 (+2.2) | 155.0 (+19.0) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -0.8 (+1.2) | 154.8 (+19.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -0.4 (+1.6) | 155.0 (+19.0) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2025 | DUQ 73 – 65 GW |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DUQ 67 – 65 GW |
| Feb 4, 2023 | DUQ 93 – 67 GW |
| Mar 3, 2022 | GW 98 – 93 DUQ |
| Feb 17, 2022 | GW 73 – 52 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#114) | 8.6 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#138) | 0.15 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#127) | 0.36 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#121) | 0.523 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.