Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +5 | 191 | Won |
| Massey | GW -5.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+55.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -4.9 (+0.1) | 140.5 (+50.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -3.4 (+1.6) | 139.7 (+51.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -5.1 (-0.1) | 135.7 (+55.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -4.6 (+0.4) | 137.5 (+53.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | DUQ 88 – 86 GW |
| Jan 16, 2025 | DUQ 73 – 65 GW |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DUQ 67 – 65 GW |
| Feb 4, 2023 | DUQ 93 – 67 GW |
| Feb 17, 2022 | GW 73 – 52 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 1-16 |
| Home | 8-5 | 3-11 |
| Away | 3-10 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L17 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#231) | -6.2 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#207) | -1.21 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#210) | -1.30 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#217) | 0.439 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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