Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +21 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -3.1 (-24.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -3.3 (-24.3) | 138.1 (-13.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -1.1 (-22.1) | 137.4 (-12.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -1.0 (-22.0) | 138.1 (-13.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -1.7 (-22.7) | 137.8 (-12.8) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | DUQ 88 – 86 GW |
| Jan 16, 2025 | DUQ 73 – 65 GW |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DUQ 67 – 65 GW |
| Feb 4, 2023 | DUQ 93 – 67 GW |
| Mar 3, 2022 | GW 98 – 93 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 1-16 | 8-9 |
| Home | 3-11 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L17 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#248) | -4.6 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#267) | -0.49 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#246) | -0.76 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#259) | 0.476 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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