Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | GW -170 DUQ +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +8 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | GW -7.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -6.1 (-14.1) | 137.8 (+0.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -4.5 (-12.5) | 139.7 (-1.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -6.3 (-14.3) | 137.4 (+0.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GW -6.7 (-14.7) | 136.0 (+2.0) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | DUQ 88 – 86 GW |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DUQ 67 – 65 GW |
| Feb 4, 2023 | DUQ 93 – 67 GW |
| Mar 3, 2022 | GW 98 – 93 DUQ |
| Feb 17, 2022 | GW 73 – 52 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#109) | -0.2 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#95) | -0.55 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#97) | -0.28 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#120) | 0.483 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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