Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -700 GW +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -10.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -10.0 (-8.0) | 147.6 (-15.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -11.0 (-9.0) | 146.5 (-14.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -11.3 (-9.3) | 146.2 (-14.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -10.9 (-8.9) | 148.1 (-16.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | DUQ 88 – 86 GW |
| Jan 16, 2025 | DUQ 73 – 65 GW |
| Feb 4, 2023 | DUQ 93 – 67 GW |
| Mar 3, 2022 | GW 98 – 93 DUQ |
| Feb 17, 2022 | GW 73 – 52 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-4 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#98) | -1.6 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#80) | -0.07 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#87) | -0.17 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#50) | 0.477 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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