Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | GB -192 DETM +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +13 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | GB -4.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -4.6 (+8.4) | 150.5 (-11.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -3.8 (+9.2) | 150.3 (-11.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -3.9 (+9.1) | 148.7 (-9.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GB -3.6 (+9.4) | 149.6 (-10.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | DETM 74 – 70 GB |
| Feb 28, 2025 | GB 76 – 71 DETM |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DETM 67 – 57 GB |
| Jan 27, 2024 | GB 78 – 64 DETM |
| Jan 5, 2024 | GB 69 – 51 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#232) | -5.9 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#182) | -0.73 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#196) | -0.95 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#140) | 0.461 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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