What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
Horizon League · Calihan Hall · February 1, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread DETM -3.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money DETM -165 / GB +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total DETM win
Actual DETM +10 124 Won
Massey DETM -4.6 (+5.4)
Massey Totals 144.8 (-20.8)
Bradley-Terry 89%
Weighted B-T 86%
Efficiency Plus ML DETM -2.6 (+7.4) 141.8 (-17.8) 61%
Baseline Tuned ML DETM -4.5 (+5.5) 139.0 (-15.0) 69%
Baseline ML DETM -4.4 (+5.6) 139.6 (-15.6) 68%
Baseline Plus ML DETM -4.5 (+5.5) 138.9 (-14.9) 67%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 DETM 7470 GB
Feb 7, 2026 GB 7663 DETM
Feb 28, 2025 GB 7671 DETM
Jan 27, 2024 GB 7864 DETM
Jan 5, 2024 GB 6951 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DETM GB
Overall 8-24 4-28
Conference 4-16 2-18
Home 6-7 3-11
Away 2-15 1-17
Neutral 0-2 0-0
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak L8 L2
Avg Pts For 66.3 69.9
Avg Pts Against 76.6 80.6
Massey -10.3 (#322) -11.7 (#337)
Bradley-Terry -1.28 (#277) -2.80 (#353)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.93 (#300) -3.05 (#343)
RPI 0.448 (#266) 0.396 (#339)
Shooting & Four Factors DETM GB
FG% 39.7% 44.3%
3PT% 33.7% 33.5%
REB / G 37.7 27.5
OREB / G 11.9 4.8
AST / TO 0.79 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.3% 52.3%
TOV% 18.7% 19.2%
ORB% 31.5% 15.7%
FT Rate 21.2% 27.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 55.4%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 15.0%
DRB% 68.1% 65.9%
Opp FT Rate 26.1% 23.4%

Game Analysis

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