If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Horizon League · Resch Center · February 28, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread GB -3.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money GB -155 / DETM +135
Model Predictions
Spread Total GB win
Actual GB +5 147 Won
Massey GB -3.0 (+2.0)
Massey Totals 144.8 (+2.2)
Bradley-Terry 40%
Weighted B-T 51%
Efficiency Plus ML GB -2.7 (+2.3) 146.0 (+1.0) 68%
Baseline Tuned ML GB -1.6 (+3.4) 144.7 (+2.3) 56%
Baseline ML GB -1.6 (+3.4) 145.9 (+1.1) 55%
Baseline Plus ML GB -1.5 (+3.5) 147.5 (-0.5) 58%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 DETM 7470 GB
Feb 7, 2026 GB 7663 DETM
Feb 1, 2025 DETM 6757 GB
Jan 27, 2024 GB 7864 DETM
Jan 5, 2024 GB 6951 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GB DETM
Overall 4-28 8-24
Conference 2-18 4-16
Home 3-11 6-7
Away 1-17 2-15
Neutral 0-0 0-2
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak L2 L8
Avg Pts For 69.9 66.3
Avg Pts Against 80.6 76.6
Massey -11.1 (#333) -10.9 (#332)
Bradley-Terry -2.48 (#350) -1.54 (#310)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.67 (#335) -2.09 (#314)
RPI 0.394 (#348) 0.431 (#308)
Shooting & Four Factors GB DETM
FG% 43.7% 40.4%
3PT% 33.2% 33.0%
REB / G 28.9 37.5
OREB / G 5.4 11.9
AST / TO 1.05 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.4% 45.0%
TOV% 18.8% 18.7%
ORB% 17.2% 31.9%
FT Rate 28.6% 21.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.7% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 14.8% 15.9%
DRB% 68.2% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 24.7% 27.6%

Game Analysis

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