Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | GB -155 DETM +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | GB -3.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -1.5 (+3.5) | 147.5 (-0.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -2.7 (+2.3) | 146.0 (+1.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -1.6 (+3.4) | 144.7 (+2.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GB -1.6 (+3.4) | 145.9 (+1.1) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | DETM 74 – 70 GB |
| Feb 7, 2026 | GB 76 – 63 DETM |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DETM 67 – 57 GB |
| Jan 27, 2024 | GB 78 – 64 DETM |
| Jan 5, 2024 | GB 69 – 51 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 4-16 |
| Home | 3-11 | 6-7 |
| Away | 1-17 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#333) | -10.9 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#350) | -1.54 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.67 (#335) | -2.09 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#348) | 0.431 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 28.9 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 17.2% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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