Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
Horizon League · Calihan Hall · January 5, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread GB -2.5 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money DETM +150 / GB -150
Model Predictions
Spread Total DETM win
Actual GB +18 120 Lost
Massey GB -7.1 (-10.9)
Massey Totals 128.7 (-8.7)
Bradley-Terry 6%
Weighted B-T 2%
Efficiency Plus ML GB -5.8 (-12.2) 130.6 (-10.6) 27%
Baseline Tuned ML GB -9.2 (-8.8) 130.2 (-10.2) 19%
Baseline ML GB -9.9 (-8.1) 133.0 (-13.0) 18%
Baseline Plus ML GB -8.0 (-10.0) 129.5 (-9.5) 20%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 DETM 7470 GB
Feb 7, 2026 GB 7663 DETM
Feb 28, 2025 GB 7671 DETM
Feb 1, 2025 DETM 6757 GB
Jan 27, 2024 GB 7864 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DETM GB
Overall 1-31 18-14
Conference 1-19 13-7
Home 1-11 10-5
Away 0-20 8-8
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L5 L2
Avg Pts For 66.0 68.6
Avg Pts Against 80.2 70.2
Massey -14.4 (#352) -2.9 (#227)
Bradley-Terry -4.08 (#362) -0.47 (#225)
W. Bradley-Terry -5.60 (#363) -0.83 (#241)
RPI 0.385 (#342) 0.478 (#209)
Shooting & Four Factors DETM GB
FG% 39.6% 44.6%
3PT% 25.3% 33.4%
REB / G 31.9 32.5
OREB / G 9.7 7.9
AST / TO 0.67 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.1% 52.0%
TOV% 21.1% 20.9%
ORB% 27.2% 25.8%
FT Rate 19.9% 18.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.0% 48.5%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 14.5%
DRB% 68.1% 70.1%
Opp FT Rate 23.2% 24.7%

Game Analysis

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