Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | GB -800 DETM +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +14 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | GB -18.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -13.9 (+0.1) | 135.2 (+6.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -11.9 (+2.1) | 137.2 (+4.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -13.9 (+0.1) | 135.1 (+6.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GB -14.8 (-0.8) | 135.4 (+6.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | DETM 74 – 70 GB |
| Feb 7, 2026 | GB 76 – 63 DETM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | GB 76 – 71 DETM |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DETM 67 – 57 GB |
| Jan 5, 2024 | GB 69 – 51 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 1-31 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 1-19 |
| Home | 10-5 | 1-11 |
| Away | 8-8 | 0-20 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 80.2 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#197) | -16.4 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#177) | -4.47 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#181) | -5.83 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#165) | 0.371 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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